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Thursday, December 13, 2012

E-Trikes and WESM


Using the 12-12-12 data from WESM, I plotted here the Luzon demand and Luzon LWAP with the inclusion of E-Trike. The peak load for this day was 7,191.7 MW (2 pm) and the lowest LWAP was P1,690.43 per MWh (4 am). For this day, the highest LWAP (P13,145.7/MWh at 6 pm) does not coincide with the peak load.

E-Trikes and WESM.

In the chosen scenario, the 100,000 E-Trikes will be aggregated and charged as one bulk load, but on the other hand, will take advantage of the LWAP at its lowest and be coordinated when the system demand is also at its lowest (off-peak) both from 3 am to 5 am.

Though the 100,000 E-Trikes are envisioned to hit the streets by 2017, it is necessary to study a "what-if" condition on whether the present generation capacity, at least in Luzon, will be able to accommodate the new 493 MW load of E-Trikes. From the NGCP website, the system capacity is 8,091 MW with peak load of 7,318 MW so that's why we have a generation reserve of 773 MW. If the charging of E-Trike is not done during the low load and low LWAP hours, the 493 MW of E-Trike will be added to the current peak load which will bring down the generation reserve to about 280 MW. If the largest contingency is more than 280 MW, the system will be operated at “Alert State”. This shows how important the timing of the E-Trikes’ charging when aggregated as one bulk load. Though when added as a load in the system, the E-Trikes as a load may impact the system price not as depicted in the graph.

The strategy of handling E-Trikes as an additional aggregated load in the power grid would be:

  • Charge when the LWAP is at its lowest – from economic standpoint, it makes sense. The E-Trike aggregator will enjoy economic benefits rather than utilizing uncoordinated charging related with LWAP which is to charge at random during a given day.
  • Charge when the demand is lowest – from generation capacity and system reliability viewpoints, this will provide support to the power system. Coordination of the E-Trike load with the demand curve may delay the need for additional generation capacity or investments.

In reality, some E-Trikes will be on the streets throughout the day/night. There are transportation needs to be met at night and any time during the day especially in urban locations so it is unlikely there will be 100,000 E-Trikes charging at the same time.

What is discussed here is a worst-case-what-if scenario which may allow us to think if the present generation capacity may be able to accommodate such 493 MW of E-Trike load. So as long as the bulk load does not plug into the grid during peak hours, economic and technical benefits are achievable.

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